Raymond’s highly scientific predictions for the 2017 NCAA men’s basketball tournament


It's been a few years since the last time, but it's back: Raymond comes up with an absurd, arbitrary criterion for filling out his NCAA bracket.

This year, I base it on the average attendance of the team's basketball games. I worked mostly from the numbers released by the NCAA, but there were a few schools not represented in that report, so I had to do some research to get their attendance numbers.

Now, you might say that attendance doesn't really represent how good the team is. Rather, it reflects the size of the school's basketball arena, the rabidity of the school's fan base, and the strength of the school's schedule. But I say that those things are indicators of the school's strength, and that's what makes this highly scientific

Once the field has been narrowed to four teams, the results are determined by a coin flip. (I should have done this when the field reduced to eight teams rather than four, but I messed up when I wrote the script that generates the brackets and now I'm too lazy to fix it. Also: highly scientific.)


Opening Round Games

Mt. St Mary's (2,207)
Mt. St Mary's
(2,207)
New Orleans (631)
Providence (9,703)
Providence
(9,703)
USC (6,456)
N.C. Central (1,588)
UC Davis
(2,111)
UC Davis (2,111)
Kansas St. (11,902)
Kansas St.
(11,902)
Wake Forest (9,520)

Group 1

1 Villanova (8,119)
Villanova
(8,119)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
16 Mount St Mary's (2,207)
8 Wisconsin (17,287)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
9 Va. Tech (6,658)
5 Virginia (14,111)
Virginia
(14,111)
Virginia
(14,111)
12 UNC-Wilm. (4,199)
4 Florida (9,686)
Florida
(9,686)
13 ETSU (3,065)
6 SMU (6,907)
Providence
(9,703)
Providence
(9,703)
Marquette
(13,308)
11 Providence (9,703)
3 Baylor (6,410)
Baylor
(6,410)
14 New Mex. St. (4,767)
7 S. Carolina (11,995)
Marquette
(13,308)
Marquette
(13,308)
10 Marquette (13,308)
2 Duke (9,314)
Duke
(9,314)
15 Troy (1,490)

Group 2

1 Gonzaga (6,000)
Gonzaga
(6,000)
Northwestern
(6,913)
W. Virginia
(10,583)
Maryland
(17,863)
16 S. Dak. St. (2,781)
8 Northwestern (6,913)
Northwestern
(6,913)
9 Vanderbilt (2,274)
5 Notre Dame (8,517)
Notre Dame
(8,517)
W. Virginia
(10,583)
12 Princeton (2,327)
4 W. Virginia (10,583)
W. Virginia
(10,583)
13 Bucknell (2,770)
6 Maryland (17,863)
Maryland
(17,863)
Maryland
(17,863)
Maryland
(17,863)
11 Xavier (10,281)
3 Florida St. (7,014)
Florida St.
(7,014)
14 FGCU (3,668)
7 St. Mary's (2,611)
VCU
(7,637)
Arizona
(14,526)
10 VCU (7,637)
2 Arizona (14,526)
Arizona
(14,526)
15 North Dakota (1,850)

Group 3

1 Kansas (16,436)
Kansas
(16,436)
Kansas
(16,436)
Kansas
(16,436)
Louisville
(20,859)
16 UC Davis (2,111)
8 Miami (Fla.) (7,006)
Michigan St.
(14,797)
9 Michigan St. (14,797)
5 Iowa St. (14,270)
Iowa St.
(14,270)
Iowa St.
(14,270)
12 Nevada (6,554)
4 Purdue (13,662)
Purdue
(13,662)
13 Vermont (2,126)
6 Creighton (15,941)
Creighton
(15,941)
Creighton
(15,941)
Louisville
(20,859)
11 Rhode Island (4,717)
3 Oregon (7,466)
Oregon
(7,466)
14 Iona (1,826)
7 Michigan (11,611)
Michigan
(11,611)
Louisville
(20,859)
10 Oklahoma St. (5,857)
2 Louisville (20,859)
Louisville
(20,859)
15 Jax. State (1,092)

Group 4

1 N. Carolina (18,326)
N. Carolina
(18,326)
N. Carolina
(18,326)
N. Carolina
(18,326)
Kentucky
(23,361)
16 Texas So. (2,421)
8 Arkansas (14,879)
Arkansas
(14,879)
9 Seton Hall (7,070)
5 Minnesota (10,706)
Minnesota
(10,706)
Minnesota
(10,706)
12 Middle Tenn. (5,183)
4 Butler (8,164)
Butler
(8,164)
13 Winthrop (1,454)
6 Cincinnati (9,415)
Kansas St.
(11,902)
Kansas St.
(11,902)
Kentucky
(23,361)
11 Kansas St. (11,902)
3 UCLA (8,073)
UCLA
(8,073)
14 Kent St. (3,587)
7 Dayton (12,941)
Dayton
(12,941)
Kentucky
(23,361)
10 Wichita St. (10,805)
2 Kentucky (23,361)
Kentucky
(23,361)
15 N. Kentucky (1,504)

Finals

Wisconsin (2)
Wisconsin
(2)
Louisvile
(3)
Maryland (0)
Louisville (3)
Louisville
(3)
Kentucky (1)
Comments (6)
  1. GWO says:

    I think you need to stress how important it is to flip a highly scientific coin. Can I recommend this Bank of England £2 coin showing the structure of DNA

    1. Ivan K says:

      That Royal Mint page lists the names of the coin’s designers, but the “About” section describing the coin just starts with “In 1953 two scientists discovered the structure of DNA…”. I had to google Watson and Crick just to be sure my memory was correct when searching the web page: those names produced no hits (at least on the mobile version).

      1. GWO says:

        Well I can’t guarantee this is relevant, but there is a certain amount of controversy over giving too much the credit to Watson and Crick, due to the fact that that narrative tends to sideline Rosalind Franklin (and to a lesser extent Maurice Wilkins). Ironically the prevailing story has, over time, lurched from one over-simplification (Crick & Watson cracked the structure of DNA) to another (Crick & Watson dishonestly stole Franklin’s results, [subtext: because men are bastards]).

        The truth, inevitably, is nothing like as simple as either of those. This is a pretty fair description of how it all went down.

        1. Ivan K says:

          Thanks for the link. I was sort of aware of the contoversy (but not to that level of detail) but didn’t mention it for the same reasons as your own refusal to guarantee. And I learned from Wikipedia that the Nobel prize was given to the max three living people (Wilkins) so maybe thought the mention of only two scientists meant that wasn’t factored in the text. Or maybe they wanted to avoid the whole debate over academia and Nobel prizes. Or maybe the Royal Mint has a massive hate on the Swedish Mint. Whatever the case, I enjoyed your comments.

  2. Joe says:

    Couple of the meta tags say 2011 instead of 2017, which can make sharing the page look a little funny:

    1. They magically fixed themselves. No idea how.

Comments are closed.

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