*Proceedings of the 23rd International World Wide Web Conference, WWW2014*(Best paper runner up), ACM, April 2014

*confusion matrix.*This matrix expresses the probability of each possible labeling outcome for a specific worker conditioned on each possible true label of an item. For example, by looking at this matrix we can figure out whether the worker is biased towards a particular label range. See the example below with confusion matrices for three-point scale labels (-1,0,1).

A standard framework to learn the latent worker’s confusion matrix is the Bayesian Classifier Combination model [1]. This model assumes that there are *K* workers classifying *N* objects (or tasks) among *C* possible labels. These counts are shown in the corresponding plates (the rectangles) of the factor graph illustrated below; arrows are included to show the generative flow.

Recall that plates represent parts of the graphical model which are duplicated - if *N* is the size of a plate, there are *N* copies of all factors and variables within the plate. In Infer.NET, plates are represented by ranges:

Range n = new Range(N);

Range k = new Range(K);

Range c = new Range(C);

We also have another range *kn* that is set up to represent the jagged intersection of the worker/task plates; workers typically judge only a small subset of the tasks, and a jagged range is a syntax which allows you to specify this. Then, after creating an array of task counts, WorkerTaskCount, with values given by the number of tasks labelled by each worker (observed at run-time) the *kn* ranges are initialized as follows:

VariableArray<int> WorkerTaskCount = Variable.Array<int>(k)

Range kn = new Range(WorkerTaskCount[k]);

Then, the generative model of BCC attempts to explain the observed worker's labels as a random draw from a categorical distribution with parameters specified by the rows of the worker's confusion matrix. Specifically, each row is selected by the true task's label, which is an unobserved random variable. In Infer.NET, this process can be coded as follows:

using (Variable.ForEach(k))

{

trueLabel = Variable.Subarray(trueLabel, WorkerTaskIndex[k]))

trueLabel.SetValueRange(c)

using (Variable.ForEach(kn))

{

using (Variable.Switch(trueLabel[kn]))

{

WorkerLabel[k][kn] = Variable.Discrete(WorkerConfusionMatrix[k][trueLabel[kn]]);

}

}

}

For a more efficient implementation, we use the subarray factor to extract the sub-set of tasks labelled by the user from the taskLabel array, which is faster than using the full array of task labels.

In CommunityBCC, we make a further modelling step by adding a latent worker type variable, which we call *community.* Communities are represented by confusion matrices that encode similarity patterns among the workers’ confusion matrices. Thus, we assume that the workers’ confusion matrices are not completely random, but rather that they tend follow some underlying clustering patterns – such patterns are readily observable by plotting the confusion matrices of workers as learned by BCC. See this example from a dataset with three-point scale labels (-1, 0, 1):

The CommunityBCC model is designed to encode the assumptions that (i) the crowd is composed by an unknown number of communities, (ii) each worker belongs to one of these communities and (iii) each worker’s confusion matrix is a noisy copy of their community’s confusion matrix. More formally, we assume that there are *M* communities of workers. Each community *m* has a score matrix CommunityScoreMatrix[m] representing the un-normalized log probabilities of the community’s confusion matrix CommunityConfusionMatrix[m]. This means that CommunityConfusionMatrix[m] is equal to the softmax of CommunityScoreMatrix[m]. Then, each worker has a community membership Community[k] and a score matrix, WorkerScoreMatrix[k], that represent the log probabilities of the worker's confusion matrix, WorkerConfusionMatrix[k]. To relate workers to their communities, the model assumes that the worker's score matrix is a Gaussian draw from the community's score matrix, which is then converted into a discrete probability vector representing the worker's confusion matrix through the softmax factor. The factor graph of the model is shown below.

To implement this model in Infer.NET, we need to add a community range to the BCC ranges:

Range m = new Range(M);

Then, we code the steps of the generative process of CommunityBCC as follows:

using (Variable.ForEach(k))

{

using (Variable.Switch(Community[k]))

{

ScoreMatrix[k] = Variable.VectorGaussianFromMeanAndPrecision(

CommunityScoreMatrix[Community[k]],

NoiseMatrix);

}

WorkerConfusionMatrix[k] = Variable.Softmax(WorkerScoreMatrix[k]);

using (Variable.ForEach(kn))

{

using (Variable.Switch(trueLabel[kn]))

{

WorkerLabel[k][kn] = Variable.Discrete(WorkerConfusionMatrix[k][trueLabel[kn]]);

}

}

}

Notice that the row of the worker’s confusion matrix, ConfusionMatrix[k], is used to generate the worker’s label in the same way as described above for BCC. At this point, we can observe a data set encoded as a matrix of task indices (i.e., the indices of the tasks labelled by the workers) and worker’s labels:

WorkerTaskIndex.ObservedValue = taskIndices;

WorkerLabel.ObservedValue = workerLabels;

Finally, we run inference on this model in the standard way by creating an inference engine and calling Infer.

WorkerConfusionMatrix = Engine.Infer<Dirichlet[][]>(ConfusionMatrix);

TrueLabel = Engine.Infer<Discrete[]>(TrueLabel);

CommunityScoreMatrix = Engine.Infer<VectorGaussian[][]>(CommunityScoreMatrix);

CommunityConfusionMatrix = Engine.Infer<Dirichlet[][]>(CommunityConfusionMatrix);

Community = Engine.Infer<Dirichlet>(Community);

**How to find the number of communities**

For a given data set, we can find the optimal number of communities using standard model selection. In particular, we can perform a model evidence search over a range of community counts. So, if we assume that the community count lies within a range of *1..X* communities, we can run CommunityBCC by looping over this range and compute the model evidence of each community count using the Infer.NET engine as follows:

double logEvidence = Engine.Infer<Bernoulli>(Evidence).LogOdds;

Take a look at computing model evidence for model selection in Infer.NET here. Then, we can select the optimal number of communities by looking at the community count with the maximum model evidence.

** How to set the other hyper-parameters**

In addition to the community count, the model has other hyper-parameters that need to be set for training:

// Precision of the noisification factor generating a worker's score matrix

double NoisePrecision

// Per-community on and off-diagonal values of mean of community score-matrix prior

Tuple<double, double>[] ScoreMeanParameters

// Per-community precision of community score-matrix prior

double[] ScorePrecisionParameters

// Parameter of community membership prior

double CommunityPseudoCount

// Parameter of true label prior

double BackgroundLabelProb

You can set these hyper-parameters at run time using ObservedValue. As with community counts you can use model evidence to guide these settings. For training on our data sets, the BackgroundLabelProb and the CommunityPseudoCount are set uninformatively with normalized uniform probabilities across the number of labels and communities, respectively and the NoisePrecision = 5. For the parameters of the community score matrices we provide two ways of specifying the mean ScoreMeanParameters and the precision ScorePrecisionParameters of their multivariate Gaussian prior. Specifically, you can either use ObservedValue or indirectly set the values of the communities confusion matrices and infer the communities score matrices by calling the method GetScoreMatrixPrior(). The latter (which uses the BCC hyper-parameter InitialWorkerBelief) is useful since the communities confusion matrices are usually more interpretable than the communities score matrices.

**Evaluation**

We tested this model on four different crowd-sourced datasets and our results show that this model provides a number of advantages over BCC, Majority Voting (MV) and Dawid and Skene’s Expected Maximization (EM) method. Firstly, its community reasoning enables a two-ways transfer learning between workers and communities that makes the model more robust against sparse label sets, i.e., sets that contains only a few labels per worker and task. As a result, CommunityBCC converges faster to the highest classification accuracy using less labels. Secondly, the model provides useful information about the number of latent worker communities with their individual confusion matrices and the community membership of each worker. The full set of results and more details about this model can be found in the paper.

Take a look at the full code (details below) and let us know your experiences in using this model.

Enjoy!

Matteo Venanzi, John Guiver and the Infer.NET team.

**Full code for this model:**** **The full C# code can be viewed in the file attached to this post. This code includes classes for BCC, CBCC , the classes for handling their posteriors (BCCPosteriors and CBCCPosteriors), the worker’s label (Datum), and a Data mapping class. The latter provides a parser for data files in the format <workerID, taskID, label, goldLabel (optional)>. This class automatically computes the label range and ensures that mappings between these entities and model indices are handled safely and consistently. There is also an active learning class (ActiveLearning) that provides the functions to reproduce an iterative labelling selection process with enums for the various task selection methods (TaskSelectionMethod) and worker selection methods (WorkerSelectionMethod). The code includes a class to collect the results (Results) and the main class (Program) to run the experiments of the paper. If you want to try out this model, you must download the Infer.NET libraries from here and link them to your visual studio solution that runs this program. You must also provide a data set in a csv file with rows in the format specified above. Finally, note that if your data set is large you may want to configure your Visual Studio project to target x64 to avoid hitting 32 bit memory limits.

**References:**

[1] H.C. Kim and Z. Ghahramani. Bayesian classier combination. International Conference on Articial Intelligence and Statistics, pages 619-627, 2012.

What does this mean:

"Recall that plates represent parts of the graphical model which are duplicated – if N is the size of a plate, there are N copies of all factors and variables within the plate. In Infer.NET, plates are represented by ranges:"

Not very clear about this sentence…

Hi Mary – Plates are replicated parts of the graph that are connected to the same variable. It's a very standard / more compact representation of graphical models – en.wikipedia.org/…/Plate_notation