"the biggest technology trends are the ones no one predicts"

In a Seattle Times article, tech pundit Paul Andrews looks forward to 2005...

"Year after year, the biggest technology trends are the ones no one predicts. So quickly does the field change that a blip on the radar can turn overnight into the asteroid that leveled Las Vegas.

...If I had to guess, I'd say 2005's bolt out of the blue will have to do with content-sharing of some sort. Like search with Google and music with Apple, file-sharing is a field ripe for platform development once someone figures out the appropriate business model.

The irony would be if Microsoft started doing things the way the old Microsoft did them. How weird it would be to be writing this time next year about the unforeseen reawakening of the slumbering giant, just as even loyal shareholders were beginning to harbor doubts." More...